{"id":"lead-strategy-assumptions-test-table","audience":"executives","category":"leadership-work","track":"leadership","level":"advanced","technique":"verification","title":"List the assumptions behind a strategy and how to test each","free":false,"task":"Review the draft strategy memo and list its assumptions in a markdown table with columns Assumption, Evidence in memo, Test, Test by. Include only assumptions the memo relies on without proof. Exactly 4 rows. Test by dates must come from the memo's calendar, and the Evidence column must say \"none\" when the memo gives no support. Output only the table.","materialLabel":"Draft strategy memo excerpt (attached to your prompt automatically)","material":"Strategy: Move upmarket to mid-size manufacturers in 2025.\n\nOur current customers are 90% small shops (under 20 employees), with an average contract of $4,800/year. Mid-size manufacturers (100-500 employees) are our targets; we expect an average contract of $30,000/year.\n\nWe will win because our scheduling software is easier to use than the incumbents. Three of our small customers said they like it more than the incumbent (survey of 12, Sept).\n\nSales cycles for mid-size are expected to be 3 months; we've closed none yet. We will hire 2 enterprise reps in Q1 and expect each to close 6 deals in their first year.\n\nImplementation will be self-serve, so we do not plan implementation staff.\nProduct needs SSO and audit logs; engineering says both are done by March 31.\n\nCalendar: pilot with 3 mid-size customers May 1-June 30; hiring complete Feb 14; board review Sept 15.\n\nThe investor deck mentions the market is $2B. Source not cited.","rules":[{"type":"maxWords","max":190}],"mistakes":[{"title":"Listing supported facts","why":"The AI includes SSO/audit logs, which engineering committed to.","fix":"Say: \"Only assumptions with no proof; skip things that are planned and dated.\"","checks":["r2"]},{"title":"Inventing dates","why":"The AI makes up test deadlines.","fix":"Say: \"Test by must be a date from the memo's calendar.\"","checks":["r2"]},{"title":"Hiding the lack of evidence","why":"The AI writes plausible evidence.","fix":"Say: \"Write 'none' in the Evidence column when the memo gives no support.\"","checks":["r1"]},{"title":"Wrong shape","why":"The AI writes paragraphs or 7 rows.","fix":"Say: \"Columns Assumption, Evidence in memo, Test, Test by; exactly 4 rows.\"","checks":["r0"]},{"title":"Trusting the AI to count words","why":"AI is bad at counting. Ask for a total word limit and it often lands over it.","fix":"Cap each cell: \"each cell under 15 words.\"","checks":["maxWords"]},{"title":"Trusting the AI to count words","why":"AI is bad at counting. Ask for a total word limit and it often lands over it.","fix":"Cap each part instead, for example: \"each line under 12 words.\"","checks":["maxWords"]}],"promptHints":[{"label":"Names the columns","patterns":["assumption","evidence","test by"]},{"label":"Exactly four rows","patterns":["4 rows","four rows","exactly 4"]},{"label":"Only unproven","patterns":["without proof","unsupported","no proof"]},{"label":"Says 'none'","patterns":["none","no support"]},{"label":"Dates from memo","patterns":["calendar","dates? from"]}],"hint":"Name the columns, row count, how to show missing evidence, and where the dates come from.","rubricLabels":["The output is a markdown table with columns Assumption, Evidence in memo, Test, Test by and exactly four data rows","Each row is one unproven assumption from the memo (mid-size contract size, sales cycle, 6 deals per rep, ease-of-use advantage, or self-serve implementation), with Evidence saying \"none\" where the memo gives no support and not repeating the SSO or $2B items","Every Test by date is one of Feb 14, March 31, May 1-June 30 or Sept 15, and no row is about the $2B market or SSO and audit logs"]}