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Weight a forecast by category probabilities

  • For Revenue operations
  • You practice Catching mistakes and made-up facts
  • Time about 5 minutes
  • Level Intermediate

About this exercise

Calculate the weighted forecast from the category totals. Write exactly 5 plain-text lines starting Commit:, Best Case:, Pipeline:, Weighted total:, Gap to target:. Show the math in each line using plain numbers (no $ or commas) and the current probabilities, not the retired ones. Under 60 words.

Common mistakes when you ask AI for this

  • Using retired probabilities. The AI picks the 80/40/5 set. Try: Add: "Use the current probabilities: 90, 50, 10 percent."
  • Skipping the math. The AI gives results without the working. Try: Add: "Show the math in every line, e.g. 780000 x 0.9 = 702000."
  • Formatting. The AI writes a table with $ and commas. Try: Add: "Five plain-text lines, plain numbers, under 60 words."

What a strong prompt includes

  • Names the five lines
  • Current probabilities
  • Shows math
  • Plain numbers
  • Caps

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