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Weight renewals by health color and compare to the target
- For Revenue operations
- You practice Catching mistakes and made-up facts
- Time about 5 minutes
- Level Advanced
About this exercise
Estimate expected renewal dollars by weighting each health group by its renewal probability. Write exactly 5 numbered lines: 1. Green, 2. Yellow, 3. Red, 4. Expected total, 5. Gap to target with a verdict word (On track or Short). Show the multiplication in lines 1 to 3, the sum in line 4 and the subtraction in line 5. Use the probabilities in the policy, not the old ones. Plain text.
Common mistakes when you ask AI for this
- Using the old probabilities. The AI uses 90/60/20. Try: Add: "Use the Oct 2026 policy probabilities."
- Adjusting for intent letters. The AI moves the 80 to renewed. Try: Add: "Keep intent-letter accounts in Red at the policy probability."
- Missing the verdict. The AI states the gap with no verdict word. Try: Add: "Line 5 ends with On track or Short."
- Unstructured answer. The AI writes a table and paragraphs. Try: Add: "Exactly 5 numbered lines, plain text."
What a strong prompt includes
- Lists the five lines
- Asks for the multiplication
- Uses current probabilities
- Asks for a verdict
- Plain numbered lines
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